I'm sure that reading it will put you ahead of retails and at the end you will probably say: “damn, how can I made it until now without knowing this concept?”. I'm comfortably saying it because that's the effect it had on me, and I'm happy to share with you this valuable information. Pay attention, read it carefully and master it because that's how whales play this game.
I. Auction Market Theory
The main concept I'm referring to is imbalance, but to understand it, we first need to cover the “Auction Market Theory”, which is at the core of every financial market. AMT is a philosophy that sustains the idea that financial markets move higher and lower due to imbalances between buyer and seller aggression, until price discovers a level where aggression is balanced and the most trade can be facilitated, obtaining a fair value.
As you know, there are 2 opposing forces in the market: buyers and sellers. When buyers are aggressive, the price rises, searching for new sellers. On the opposite, when sellers are aggressive, the price falls, searching for new buyers.
When aggression is balanced, the market finds a fair value and will remain in such condition until a major event changes the aggression of buyers and sellers, causing an imbalance.
The balanced market condition is called “Fair Value” which is simply a price area that facilitate most trade between market participants, and results in price trading in a tight range on higher volume.
This visual representation helps you understand the flow that constantly happens in financial markets and its key importance over time. Keep it in mind as we proceed with this content.

We can start applying the concept of AMT on the chart with a practical and introductive example.
Let’s suppose that Bitcoin is trading into the $65.300/$65.800 range, perceived as a fair value from market participants.
At some point, buyers start to become aggressive, pushing the price higher (a narrative surrounds the price action) producing a buy imbalance that leads the price into a discovery phase.
This buyer demand drives the price up until it finds a target area in which sellers accept to sell, creating a range where the forces are balanced and therefore obtaining a fair value. (between $66.500/$67.100 this example).
That fair value over time isn’t perceived as fair as the market was thinking, creating a wave of sellers that produce a sell imbalance bringing the price of Bitcoin back into the previous fair value built.

Important concept: In a fair value zone, the volumes will likely be high as there will be a lot of exchanges between buyers and sellers.
During imbalances instead, the volumes will likely be LOW as the directional impulse (bull or bear) has one preponderant force.
This concept, also technically called “volume profile” is a very important one that will help us later to understand better the whole macro thesis.
II. Imbalances
We saw the theory behind an imbalance, so let’s apply it to the Bitcoin daily chart.
The range in which Bitcoin was trading (between 32K and 28K) was also considered as a fair value area.
Then, the price fell below the range due to an aggressive move by sellers, creating a big imbalance which was a “magnet” for the price to search for liquidity (notice the wicks that grab liquidity into the imbalance zone).
So why does this matter?

If we extend the timeframe and look at the price action of Bitcoin further, we can notice that the price has rebalanced the imbalance created in the past, using that area to rise more, until where?
Near the past Fair Value zone.
Statistically speaking, the market is more likely to find a reaction in a zone where there was demand, because the market perceived that area as fair value.
The value (not the price) of the asset was considered fair.

Another crucial aspect to consider is that we don’t know when imbalance zones will be rebalanced.
It could take days, weeks or even months before seeing the price re-balancing the imbalance.
This means that you don't have to sell after the price has created an imbalance, as the market could produce another impulse and you'll likely to get “cut” from the trend missing out on profits.
This also means that, statistically speaking, the market will tend to flow back to fill that imbalance and potentially go into fair value areas for the theory of “path of least resistance”. (imbalances have low volumes that stop the price).
Remember: if the price rebalances, it has also the strength to pump more.
Otherwise it has not the necessary “fuel”.

Wait..slightly above you mentioned a sentence: “The value (not the price) of the asset was considered fair”.. What does it mean?
This is an important part of the auction that needs to be understood as it’s fundamental to understand the AMT as a whole.
What’s really, price?
Well, price is simply the last level at which a transaction occurred and you can think of it as a “snapshot” of the auction at a specific moment.
Value instead, in the context of AMT, is something entirely different.
It is the price range where the market has spent time and volume, where buyers and sellers have both been willing to transact without (key word) urgency.
When value is described as “fair,” it does not mean the asset is fundamentally cheap or expensive.
It means the auction is balanced, participation is two-sided, and trade is occurring efficiently.
As you can imagine this distinction matters especially in a space like the crypto one.
While crypto may lack traditional intrinsic value such as cash flows or balance sheets contrary to stocks they still develop market value.
Traders, smart money, funds, miners..they all interact, accumulate, distribute, risk, and defend positions.
These behaviors leave “traces” in time and volume, which is how value is formed.
When price moves away from this accepted area, the market is no longer in balance, it is searching for a new value.
Price is what you see now, while value is where the market has proven it is comfortable.
Another way to think about value in AMT is to recognize that it is not a static condition but a state of agreement.
The market is continuously negotiating where that agreement should exist, and value is simply the area where that negotiation temporarily stabilizes.
When participants repeatedly transact at similar prices without the need to push the market higher or lower, the auction has effectively paused its search. That pause tells you that, at those levels, risk is perceived as symmetric.
Buyers do not feel compelled to lift offers, and sellers do not feel pressured to hit bids. This symmetry is what defines the concept of comfort I mentioned above.
This is also why value cannot be inferred from speed alone.
Fast movement through prices is evidence of rejection, not acceptance.
If price moves quickly through a level, it is signaling that the market did not find sufficient opposition there.
In AMT terms, the auction did not “work” at that price.
Only where the market slows down, overlaps, and rotates can value develop.
Overlap is the market expressing agreement.
Value also has a memory.
Once an area has been accepted, it becomes a reference point for future auctions.
When price later returns to that region, participants remember it as a place where trade previously occurred efficiently.
This is why old value areas often act as magnets.
The market is not drawn to them because of technical significance in the conventional sense, but because they represent what I like to call “known territory”.
Returning to value reduces uncertainty.
Leaving value increases it.
Importantly, value is not neutral just because it is balanced.
Large participants often build inventory inside value precisely because the lack of urgency allows them to execute size without revealing intent.
Accumulation and distribution rarely happen during impulsive moves; they happen during balance.
This is one of the reasons why extended consolidation should never be dismissed as “nothing happening.”
A great deal is happening, but it is happening quietly, through absorption rather than aggression.
When price departs from value, the character of trade changes immediately.
Initiative activity increases, rotations disappear, and the market begins to probe for areas where the opposite side might re-emerge.
Until that opposition is found and proves willing to transact over time, the market remains in discovery.
Discovery is uncomfortable by design. It is where risk is transferred rapidly and where poor positioning is exposed.
The market is effectively asking a question: are these prices acceptable? Only time and volume can answer that.
This also reframes how one should think about “high” and “low” prices.
In AMT, a price is not high or low in absolute terms, it is high or low relative to value.
A price far above value is not expensive, and a price far below value is not cheap.
They are simply locations where the auction is testing extremes. Whether those extremes hold depends entirely on acceptance, not opinion.
Ultimately, AMT replaces the idea of forecasting with the idea of observation and that’s why I like it so much.
You are not predicting where price should go based on what you believe an asset is worth.
You are observing where the market has already demonstrated agreement and watching how it behaves when that agreement is challenged. Price tells you what just happened. Value tells you what has been validated.
Understanding that distinction is what allows the auction to be read rather than guessed.

III. Volume Profile
Slightly above you saw the volumes on the left of the chart, so it’s time to take a look into it because is a fundamental part of the AMT.
Remember when I was talking about the volume profile and its relationship with imbalances?
It's all connected.
This becomes a huge edge if we apply it to HTFs because it provides important zones in which we can hypothesize a price reaction, individuating potential targets.
Volume Profile is simply the distribution of traded volume across price levels, not across time like traditional volume bars.
This allows you to see where the market actually accepted value and where it rejected it.
From a basic perspective, there are 3 important elements:
- POC (Point of Control) → the price with the most traded volume
- Value Area (VA) → where roughly 68/70% of the trading activity occurred (divided into VAH and VAL)
- High Volume Nodes (HVNs) → areas of acceptance
- Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) → areas of rejection or inefficiency
HVNs act like magnets for price because they represent equilibrium where buyers and sellers previously agreed on value.
I like to think, instead, about LVNs as "highways" where price tends to move quickly due to the lack of prior transactions.
Already here you can start understanding why the market often accelerates through certain areas and slows down around others.

It’s important because it helps identify significant price levels based on trading volume by displaying a histogram on the chart.
The longer the line, the greater the volume traded at the associated price level. If the line is short, there haven't been many trades at that specific level (volume scarcity or voids).
In the example you can see the volume profile on the left for the S&P500 (notice the big cluster of long volume lines in the 3950/3750 zone)

At this point you might be asking: “Mate, why I should use volume profile?”
2 main reasons:
- to identify areas where there has been significant interest in trading, pinpointing potential support and resistance levels.
- to find areas where spikes in volume or high volume nodes (HVN) have been recorded.
In general, the market tends to stay at these levels for a longer period of time compared to others.
When the price approaches an HVN, it is less likely that the market will immediately break through that level.

Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) are the opposite, meaning price areas where volumes have been low.
LVNs are generally the result of sharp directional movements either downward or upward (Imbalances) therefore, for the “path of least resistance” we saw above, the price will not spend a lot of time there, as it isn’t considered a fair value area.

There are many ways to calculate the volume profile but the one that I recommend using if you’re at your first steps and you want to adopt a long term strategy is the visible range VP which will provide all the areas (like in the examples above)
So how to? Well, the classic VP is a premium tool from TradingView but fortunately, some users have developed free indicators.

The one that could be used is the Volume Profile made by LuxAlgo: this is how the chart will look like with the volume profile that will be displayed on the left.
In this example we can clearly see what we’ve said before: The high concentration of volumes (HVN) matches the 40K/44K range for Bitcoin. (price spent lot of time there).
The volume void instead highlights the imbalance in the price.

1. Fixed Volume Profile Range
Imagine you’re trading, and you’re trying to figure out where the market might go next.
One of the biggest challenges is knowing which price levels really matter, thus where buyers and sellers are active versus places the price might just pass through. That’s exactly what the Fixed Range Volume Profile, or FRVP, helps with.
FRVP shows you how much trading happened at each price level over a specific period you choose.
Instead of just looking at time-based volume bars, you can see where the market spent the most time and energy, which usually means those levels are strong demand or supply.
You’ll also notice areas with very little activity..these are the zones where prices can move quickly, almost like a “fast lane” for the market.
That’s why I like to “qualify” areas with this tool.
Price, if you think about, is simply a print on the tape: it is the reflection of trades that have already taken place.
Without context, without the density of volume that shows us where business was actually conducted, those levels are hollow drawings that might just as well be wishful thinking.
The reason context is non-negotiable is because market structure is an auction, and auctions do not revolve around arbitrary highs and lows, but around the negotiation of value.
The FRVP offers a lens into this negotiation by displaying where the majority of transactions occurred within a defined segment of price action.
This creates what I like to call a "map of the battlefield": where buyers and sellers have already agreed on value, where value has been rejected, and where price is attempting to build or fail to build acceptance.
If price taps a level that you’ve drawn as supply, but volume data shows it sits in a thin, low-participation pocket, the rejection there is unlikely to be sustained as it’s air, not foundation.
The starting point is by anchoring your FRVP from a meaningful swing high to a meaningful swing low (or vice versa, depending on the direction of the move).
"Why from swing high to swing low?"
Because this isolates the auction leg, therefore the segment of market activity where the imbalance originated.
A swing high followed by an impulsive move down is the beginning of a potential supply structure.
A swing low followed by an impulsive move up is the beginning of a potential demand structure.
By anchoring your FRVP across this exact leg, you capture the entire distribution of traded volume that underpins the move which is not arbitrary, it’s the footprint of where "business" was done, and it’s the only way to distinguish whether your “zone” is real or a mirage. (double click on the indicator and select VAH/POC/VAL to display the lines)
When you apply the FRVP from high to low, you are left with 3 critical levels:
- POC (Point of Control): The single price level where the most contracts or shares traded. If your supposed demand or supply sits directly at the POC, understand that this level has already been normalized into the market’s perception of fair value.
Don’t expect explosive rejection as it’s processed liquidity.
- VAH (Value Area High): The upper boundary of 70% of all traded volume within that swing. Supply zones that overlap with VAH are powerful when price retests and rejects them. Why? Because they mark the edge of accepted value. If the market refuses to build above that edge, sellers are defending.
- VAL (Value Area Low): The lower boundary of that same 70% distribution. Demand zones that overlap with VAL gain legitimacy when price retests them and then builds acceptance back above. Buyers are showing up to keep value inside the range.

Example of FRVP on an HTF range on DOGE
Deeper lens
Now that we saw the essential part of the FRVP, the one that most can grasp, it’s time to dive deeper and analyze the real “sauce”. (Don’t be scared of the numbers, it’s nothing really complicated)
On the left-hand side of the chart I presented, you see horizontal bars accompanied by numbers.
These are the “heart” of the FRVP, something very often overlooked.
Each bar represents the amount of Dogecoin traded at that exact price level, and the numbers show you the size of that activity.
The letters “M” and “B” stand for millions and billions of DOGE traded.
For example, 1.64B means one billion six hundred forty million coins were exchanged at that price, while 316.19M means three hundred sixteen million coins traded there.
The bigger the number, the heavier the trading at that level.
Sometimes you see two numbers separated by a multiplication symbol, like 224.93M × 316.19M.
This doesn’t mean they are multiplied but instead, it’s a breakdown of how the total trading volume at that price was divided between buyers and sellers.
The first number is the buy volume, the second number is the sell volume.
So in that example, at the red line (VAH) around 224 million DOGE were bought and 316 million DOGE were sold at that level, for a total of roughly 541 million traded. (224.93 + 316.19 = 541.12)
This gives us even more insight because it shows whether a price level leaned more toward accumulation or toward distribution.
When you look at these bars and numbers, you’ll notice some areas where the bars are very long and the numbers very large.
These are called high-volume nodes.
They are like the busy marketplaces of the chart, places where buyers and sellers met in huge size and agreed on price.
When price approaches a high-volume node, it often slows down, consolidates, or even reverses, because traders remember these levels and are willing to engage there again.
That’s why often they act as strong support or resistance.
In contrast, there are areas where the bars are very short and the numbers are much smaller.
These are low-volume nodes, the empty streets of the chart.
Price doesn’t linger there for long and when it passes through, it often moves quickly, because there’s not much trading memory or liquidity to slow it down. This is why low-volume zones often behave like “fast lanes” as once price enters them, it tends to run straight to the next high-volume area.
- Side note:
The numbers on the sides of the volume profile bars are often shown as buyers on one side and sellers on the other, but they don’t truly represent who is in control.
They usually count trades hitting the ask as “buyers” and trades hitting the bid as “sellers,” but many trades are matched internally by the exchange, so it’s not a reliable measure of buying or selling pressure.
To see actual market aggression, you’d need an order flow or footprint chart.
“Ok, so why it should be useful?”
It’s useful because it shows where trading activity is concentrated, helping you identify important price levels.
High-volume areas often act as support or resistance, while low-volume areas show where price moved quickly. Even though it doesn’t tell you who is buying or selling, it provides a map of market interest that helps plan entries, exits, and anticipate how price might react. (if you’re able to give it context)
Zoom in on the FRVP of DOGE

Context is essential
“Cool bro, so I just have to buy when the first number overcomes the second
since this means that buyers are more than sellers..easy game!”
Eh no my friend, otherwise it would be too easy, don’t you think so?
Let me show you an example.
The white rectangle represents the POC on DOGE which has been used from the price to bounce later (10 September 2025) but wait..how is it possible if sellers were exceeding buyers?
Well, even when the FRVP shows that sell volume at a POC exceeds buy volume, price can still surge because the numbers reflect only executed trades at that price, not the latent demand or supply lurking just off the book.
Think of the POC as a “busy intersection”: many trades happened there historically, but what really determines price movement is who is willing to absorb the opposing side and push through.
When sell volume dominates at the POC, large buyers may still be present, passively absorbing those sells without letting price drop.
This is what we call absorption, the market allows sellers to offload coins into resting buy orders without impacting price.
Once the immediate selling pressure is absorbed, the excess buy-side liquidity can push price upward, sometimes in a very violent manner.
The POC is also part of a high-volume node, which acts as a strong liquidity magnet.
Traders remember these levels, algorithms trigger entries, and stop-loss clusters often exist nearby.
Even if the executed volume at the POC favors sellers, the surrounding HVN and latent buy orders provide a cushion.
When price exits the node into lower-volume areas, it can accelerate because there’s less resistance and the accumulated buying pressure dominates.
In short, FRVP numbers show what traded, not who controls price next. Aggressive buyers stepping in, the cushioning effect of the HVN, and absorption of sell orders all combine to allow price to soar, even when the executed sell volume at the POC is higher than buy volume.
Price is ultimately driven by order book dynamics, latent demand, and momentum, not just the raw executed numbers at a single level.
For this reason, being able to contextualize the price action is very important
and often, is the most difficult thing.

DOGE absorption at POC & continuation

Examples:
I recently mentioned the fact of qualifying zones with the volume profile, so I guess it’s time to show you some examples in order to help you understand what I mean.
WIF long:
In this WIF/USDT daily chart, you can see how the FRVP is used with precision, applied from the SH to the SL of a clear bearish leg.
This method is rooted in logic and I'm gonna explain you why.
When price makes a clean impulse move, like the one shown here, applying the profile from the SH (where the move began) to the SL (where it completed) allows me to analyze exactly where volume was concentrated during that specific selloff.
It tells me the story of that move: where sellers were active, where buyers attempted to absorb, and where the market was in balance.
In this case, the profile reveals a heavy cluster of volume right around the middle of the range, the POC, and it’s a key area where price spent time consolidating before continuing downward.
What’s important is that price didn’t react immediately to this volume node.
Do you remember the multi HTF demand we were watching for continuation to the upside?
There were multiple demands overlapping each other signaling interest from institutions, also aligning with the 0.705 and 0.79 Fib levels and…also aligning with the volume node, so acting as a + 1 confluence for our setup.
WIF was building structure above the POC in an overall good moment for the market and toward that demand, if we zoom in on the FRVP (image attached) there were sell orders overcoming buy ones, but..well, the context there was key.

If price builds structure above the POC in fact, the next demand zones may contain significant sell volume, but in a strong bullish context, those sellers are likely to be absorbed by buyers, allowing long entries to work as the price continues upward, as happened in this case where the POC perfectly acted as base for jumping higher.
XVG breakout validation:
When a market breaks out of a range, it often leaves you wondering: “is this breakout real, or is it a fakeout waiting to trap late entries?”. This is where the FVP can become a powerful confirmation tool.
To validate a breakout, start by applying the FVP across the entire range that preceded the breakout. Anchor the profile from the first SH or SL of the range to the final candle before the breakout occurs. This gives you a clear picture of where the “bulk” of trading activity took place during consolidation. Within the profile, pay close attention to the POC.
Now, when the breakout occurs, price often returns to test the prior range from above.
A retest of the POC or one of the Value Area boundaries (VAH/VAL) becomes the key moment. If price retests and holds above the POC or VAH, especially with a bullish reaction (for example a strong wick or a higher low), this signals acceptance above value and increases the probability of continuation.